Norway vs Senegal Prediction – Who Will Win World Cup Match, H2H, Form and Stats
Norway vs Senegal prediction coverage gives fans the key details before the Group I fixture at New York/New Jersey Stadium in New York/New Jersey. The match is scheduled for Monday, June 22, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, 5:00 PM PT, 00:00 UTC on Tuesday, June 23, and 5:00 AM PKT on Tuesday, June 23. Norway can strengthen their group position, while Senegal need a result after the opening round.
Norway vs Senegal Latest Match Update
Prediction latest: FIFA lists Norway vs Senegal as Match 41 in Group I at New York/New Jersey Stadium in New York/New Jersey. Kickoff is 8:00 PM ET, 5:00 PM PT, 00:00 UTC on Tuesday, June 23, and 5:00 AM PKT on Tuesday, June 23.
Norway opened Group I with a 4-1 win over Iraq, with Erling Haaland scoring twice. Senegal lost 3-1 to France in their opener. Norway lead Group I on goal difference, while Senegal need points after losing their first match.
| Detail | Latest information |
|---|---|
| Match | Norway vs Senegal |
| Competition | FIFA World Cup 2026 |
| Group | Group I |
| Match number | Match 41 |
| Venue | New York/New Jersey Stadium, New York/New Jersey |
| Kickoff | 8:00 PM ET / 5:00 PM PT / 00:00 UTC on Tuesday, June 23 / 5:00 AM PKT on Tuesday, June 23 |
| Norway opener | Norway opened Group I with a 4-1 win over Iraq, with Erling Haaland scoring twice. |
| Senegal opener | Senegal lost 3-1 to France in their opener. |
Norway Win
Norway
Senegal
Match card synced with FIFA Match Centre 400021491 on June 21, 2026.
Norway vs Senegal prediction coverage moves to Group I Match 41 at World Cup 2026 in New York/New Jersey. We predict Norway to win 2-1 because Erling Haaland, Martin Odegaard, and the 4-1 opening win over Iraq give Stale Solbakken the sharper tournament position. Senegal rank higher and have the pace to punish Norway, so this pick carries a modest confidence level.
Norway started with a 4-1 win over Iraq, with Haaland scoring twice and Norway taking the group lead on goal difference. Senegal lost 3-1 to France, but they created chances and caused problems before France pulled away after halftime. This match should decide whether Norway can move close to qualification or Senegal can drag Group I back into a fight.
| Predicted Winner | Predicted Score | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Norway | 2-1 | 55% |
| Norway Win | Draw | Senegal Win |
|---|---|---|
| 55% | 27% | 18% |
Norway Form and Stats
Norway enter with a last-five form line of W D W D L from newest to oldest. The newest result matters most because Norway beat Iraq 4-1 and placed themselves above France on goal difference. Norway rank #31 in the official FIFA men’s ranking updated on 11 June 2026.
Solbakken has a clear attacking spine. Haaland gives Norway the box finisher, Odegaard creates the passes into him, and Alexander Sorloth can attack crosses or pin centre-backs. Norway also get width from Antonio Nusa and support from Sander Berge or Patrick Berg in midfield.
| Stat | Norway |
|---|---|
| FIFA Ranking | #31 |
| Last 5 Form | W D W D L |
| Opening Result | Norway 4-1 Iraq |
| Coach | Stale Solbakken |
| Key Player | Erling Haaland |
| Main Support | Martin Odegaard and Alexander Sorloth |
Senegal Form and Stats
Senegal enter with a last-five form line of L D L W W from newest to oldest. The 3-1 loss to France leaves them third on goal difference, but the performance produced chances before France scored twice late. Senegal rank #15 in the official FIFA men’s ranking updated on 11 June 2026.
Pape Thiaw still has a strong attacking group. Sadio Mane, Nicolas Jackson, Ismaila Sarr, and Iliman Ndiaye give Senegal speed across the front line. Kalidou Koulibaly and Edouard Mendy bring experience, but Senegal need cleaner defensive spacing after France found gaps in the second half.
| Stat | Senegal |
|---|---|
| FIFA Ranking | #15 |
| Last 5 Form | L D L W W |
| Opening Result | France 3-1 Senegal |
| Coach | Pape Thiaw |
| Key Player | Sadio Mane |
| Main Support | Nicolas Jackson and Ismaila Sarr |
Norway Team News
Norway have positive team-news signals before Senegal. Sports Mole reported a double defensive boost for Solbakken before the match, and the core attacking group remains built around Haaland and Odegaard. Norway can keep a similar attacking plan to the Iraq win.
The main question is defensive balance. Norway can hurt Senegal through Haaland, Sorloth, and Nusa, but they cannot leave open spaces for Mane and Jackson. Solbakken may ask Berge and Berg to protect the centre before Odegaard receives higher up the pitch.
Senegal Team News
Senegal have no confirmed suspension issue in the source set before facing Norway. FIFA and Al Jazeera squad coverage put Mane, Koulibaly, Jackson, Sarr, Ndiaye, and Mendy among the key names in Thiaw’s group. Jackson started against France and hit the post in one of Senegal’s best moments.
Thiaw needs a sharper final ball than Senegal produced against France. Mane can still pull defenders toward him, while Sarr and Jackson can attack space behind Norway’s full-backs. Senegal have enough quality to score, but their defensive transitions need a cleaner shape.
Head to Head Record
The Norway vs Senegal head to head record gives Senegal a small historical edge. AiScore lists one meeting since 2006, with Senegal winning 2-1. 11v11 also keeps Norway versus Senegal in its national-team H2H archive.
The sample is too small to override current form. Norway arrive from a 4-1 win and lead Group I, while Senegal need points after losing to France. Current attacking matchups matter more than a single friendly from 2006.
| H2H Stat | Record |
|---|---|
| Total Senior Meetings | 1 listed |
| Norway Wins | 0 |
| Draws | 0 |
| Senegal Wins | 1 |
| Last Listed Meeting | Senegal 2-1 Norway, 2006 |
| World Cup Meetings | 0 |
Key Prediction Factors
- Norway lead Group I after beating Iraq 4-1.
- Senegal rank #15, which makes this a tight prediction despite their opening loss.
- Haaland scored twice in Norway’s first World Cup match of 2026.
- Senegal created chances against France but lost defensive control after halftime.
- Norway can qualify early with a win if other Group I results support them.
Our Norway vs Senegal Prediction
Our Norway vs Senegal prediction is Norway to win 2-1 with 55% confidence. Norway have momentum, a clear scoring route through Haaland, and better group position after Matchday 1. Senegal carry enough pace and ranking strength to make this one of the tighter picks in the queue.
The World Cup 2026 standings give Norway the stronger table position. A win would move them to six points before facing France. Senegal need at least one point to avoid entering the Iraq match under heavy pressure.
How Norway Can Win
Norway can win by feeding Haaland before Senegal settle into their defensive block. Odegaard needs to receive between Senegal’s midfield lines and release early passes into Sorloth or Haaland. If Norway force Koulibaly to defend while turning, they can create the decisive chances.
Solbakken also needs set-piece discipline and second-ball control. Senegal can break fast, so Norway cannot leave their centre-backs exposed after corners or long attacks. Berge and Berg should keep Norway connected when Odegaard pushes forward.
How Senegal Can Challenge the Pick
Senegal can challenge the pick by attacking Norway’s full-back zones with speed. Mane can draw pressure, Jackson can run behind, and Sarr can stretch the opposite side. That front line gives Senegal a strong route if Norway commit too many players forward.
Thiaw also needs Senegal to protect the box better than they did late against France. Norway will keep sending service toward Haaland, and one missed duel can change the match. Senegal can win if they turn their first-half energy from the France match into goals.
World Cup 2026 Group I Standings
Norway lead Group I after beating Iraq 4-1, while France sit second after beating Senegal 3-1. Senegal and Iraq have no points after one match. The table creates urgency because Senegal cannot afford another defeat before the final group fixture.
| Team | P | M | W | D | L | GD | GF/GA | L5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norway | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4/1 | WDWDL |
 France | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3/1 | WWLWW |
| Senegal | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 1/3 | LDLWW |
 Iraq | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 1/4 | LDWDW |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Norway vs Senegal?
Our pick is Norway to win 2-1. Haaland, Odegaard, and Norway’s opening result give them a narrow edge.
What is the Norway vs Senegal prediction confidence?
The Norway vs Senegal prediction confidence is 55%. Senegal rank higher and carry enough attacking threat to keep the call tight.
What is the Norway vs Senegal head to head record?
Senegal won the only listed senior meeting 2-1 in 2006. The teams have no listed World Cup meeting before this match.
Where is Norway vs Senegal being played?
Norway vs Senegal is scheduled for New York/New Jersey Stadium on Monday, 22 June 2026, with kickoff at 20:00 ET.
Can Senegal beat Norway in Group I?
Senegal can beat Norway if Mane, Jackson, and Sarr turn transitions into shots before Norway settle into their attacking rhythm.
Follow Norway at World Cup 2026 for squad updates, fixtures, and Group I coverage. Norway are the pick because Haaland and Odegaard give them the clearest route to repeat scoring chances.
Follow Senegal at World Cup 2026 for team news and match coverage. Senegal can challenge Norway if Mane and Jackson turn transition attacks into early shots.
Read also: Norway vs Senegal lineups.
